Ken Simson, chief economist of the Associated General Contractors of America, told Construction Dive the “ostensible weakness is likely to disappear soon.” Basu said the “dismal number likely reflects a statistical aberration rather than a legitimate decline in demand.”
For one, the drop aligns with a notable decrease in March 2023. That led Basu to question whether BLS’s seasonally adjusted metrics fully account for construction’s scheduling and hiring patterns.
“Accordingly, these data should not be viewed as a sign of an industry slowdown, at least not without another month or two of data to corroborate it,” said Basu.
Meanwhile, single-family construction spending dropped 0.2% at a seasonally adjusted rate after 10 consecutive months of increases, Simsonson noted. Spending on residential improvements dropped 1.6% for the fifth straight month and weakness in multifamily spending could have dragged down demand for workers in those sectors, which are included in the BLS report, Simonson said.
Finally, the number of layoffs in construction dropped 30.2% from February to March, to 145,000, which Simonson surmised to mean the industry expects continued demand for workers and kept them on, even with a decline in March work.
BLS does not break down construction job openings data by sector.
“I think the drop in hires and openings was probably concentrated in residential categories,” Simonson said.
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Join Our CommunityKen Simson, chief economist of the Associated General Contractors of America, told Construction Dive the “ostensible weakness is likely to disappear soon.” Basu said the “dismal number likely reflects a statistical aberration rather than a legitimate decline in demand.”
For one, the drop aligns with a notable decrease in March 2023. That led Basu to question whether BLS’s seasonally adjusted metrics fully account for construction’s scheduling and hiring patterns.
“Accordingly, these data should not be viewed as a sign of an industry slowdown, at least not without another month or two of data to corroborate it,” said Basu.
Meanwhile, single-family construction spending dropped 0.2% at a seasonally adjusted rate after 10 consecutive months of increases, Simsonson noted. Spending on residential improvements dropped 1.6% for the fifth straight month and weakness in multifamily spending could have dragged down demand for workers in those sectors, which are included in the BLS report, Simonson said.
Finally, the number of layoffs in construction dropped 30.2% from February to March, to 145,000, which Simonson surmised to mean the industry expects continued demand for workers and kept them on, even with a decline in March work.
BLS does not break down construction job openings data by sector.
“I think the drop in hires and openings was probably concentrated in residential categories,” Simonson said.
Our library of marketing materials is tailored to help construction firms like yours. Use it to benchmark your performance, identify opportunities, stay up-to-date on trends, and make strategic business decisions.
Join Our Community