News
December 18, 2025

Steel Price Volatility Reshapes Construction Economics

Construction Owners Editorial Team

Steel remains one of the most essential materials in construction, underpinning everything from infrastructure and industrial facilities to commercial buildings. According to the World Steel Association, construction and infrastructure account for more than half of global steel consumption, making the sector highly sensitive to shifts in steel pricing and availability.

Over the past several years, steel economics have undergone dramatic changes. Prices surged in the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic as global demand rebounded, supply chains tightened, and production struggled to keep pace. Although prices have moderated from their historic peaks, they remain well above pre-pandemic levels, continuing to exert upward pressure on construction budgets.

Courtesy: Photo by  Ricardo Gomez Angel on Unsplash

As a result, materials management has become a central concern for construction professionals seeking to protect profit margins in steel-intensive projects.

Price Volatility Continues to Impact Projects

Federal Reserve data show that the Producer Price Index (PPI) for hot-rolled steel bars, plates, and structural shapes has fallen roughly 20% from its June 2022 peak, yet remains about 50% higher than pandemic-era lows. This sustained elevation directly translates into higher project costs across the construction industry.

The impact is particularly visible in infrastructure. The National Highway Construction Cost Index climbed 60% between the first quarter of 2020 and the first quarter of 2025, with steel prices playing a major role in that escalation due to the material’s central role in bridges, roadways, and public works.

Price volatility creates operational challenges, especially for firms without well-developed supply chains. Sudden cost spikes can compress margins, disrupt bidding strategies, and introduce uncertainty into long-term project planning. Companies that fail to actively monitor steel pricing or diversify suppliers may find themselves at a competitive disadvantage.

To counter these risks, construction firms are increasingly investing in supply chain technology, strengthening supplier relationships, and pursuing strategic sourcing agreements designed to stabilize procurement costs.

Domestic Steel Capacity Gains Momentum

Recent trade policy changes have added another layer of complexity. Tariffs introduced in April 2025 triggered an immediate 5.4% month-over-month increase in steel prices in May, with prices in September still 7.9% above pre-tariff levels, according to federal data.

Courtesy: Photo by Mondo Amos on Unsplash

These conditions have accelerated the case for domestic steel production expansion. From April through September 2025, raw steel industrial production increased 3.8%, while capacity utilization for iron and steel products rose by approximately six percentage points, signaling that producers are ramping up output to meet demand.

Expanding domestic capacity offers the construction industry a potential buffer against tariff-driven volatility. Steel sourced from U.S. mills avoids import duties that have climbed as high as 50% this year, providing a pricing advantage over imported alternatives. Beyond immediate cost relief, domestic production also helps insulate projects from future trade policy disruptions.

However, scaling domestic production to meaningfully reduce reliance on imports requires significant time, capital, and long-term investment, limiting how quickly relief can be felt across the industry.

Outlook for 2026 and Beyond

Steel prices remain a persistent challenge for construction cost management. While pandemic-era extremes have eased, elevated prices continue to ripple through infrastructure, industrial, and commercial construction. Trade policy uncertainty further complicates planning, reinforcing the importance of disciplined procurement strategies.

For construction firms, success in this environment increasingly depends on strong supplier relationships, proactive forecasting, and resilient supply chain management. Companies that can anticipate price movements and secure stable sources of steel will be better positioned to protect budgets and remain competitive as demand for steel-intensive projects continues into 2026.

Originally reported by Devin Bell in Construct Connect News.

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